Lara Rhame

Lara is Chief U.S. Economist at FS Investments, where she analyzes developments in the global and U.S. economies and financial markets. Her fresh take on macroeconomic issues helps to inform and develop the firm’s long-term views on the economy, investment trends and issues facing investors. Lara is committed to the Philadelphia community and serves on the board of both the Economy League of Greater Philadelphia and Starr Garden Park.

Q4 2019 Economic outlook: Survival guide to a global slowdown

A sharp global economic slowdown, heightened trade uncertainty, plunging interest rates and wilting business sentiment. These and other factors complicate the investment landscape in Q4 and beyond. Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame provides a survival guide to investing through volatility.
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Macro matters: China’s devaluation escalates trade tension

Trade tensions have been a near-constant backdrop for investors in 2019. On Monday, markets drew a direct line between trade policy uncertainty and expectations for a weaker U.S. economy. Stocks saw their worst day since January 4 and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged to its lowest level since November 2016. Read more on how trade tensions could weigh on Fed policy, broader economic activity, inflation and how this may impact investors.
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Macro matters: Why the July Fed meeting could spark volatility

On Wednesday, the FOMC appears set to embark on its first rate cut in 10 years. Markets have cheered the Fed’s accommodative shift this year, but the outcome of Wednesday’s meeting will be more nuanced than the headline rate move. Will the Fed indicate further cuts ahead? Do policymakers view the economy as “upbeat” or “cautious”?
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My two favorite recession indicators

Our economy is slowing, and with partial yield curve inversion, investors are worried we’re heading into a recession. But two other indicators have a better track record at signaling one. Read why investors need to keep an eye on initial jobless claims and consumer confidence in Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame’s latest perspective.
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The corrosive effects of policy uncertainty

The unknowns facing our economy today, coupled with a tight labor market and deteriorating business sentiment, are slowing economic growth and may amplify market volatility. Read Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame’s assessment of uncertainty’s impact on consumers and investors in the months ahead.
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